Expected Returns: An Investor's Guide to Harvesting Market Rewards (The Wiley Finance Series) for $47.25

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"Expected Returns: An Investor's Guide to Harvesting Market Rewards (The Wiley Finance Series)" Overview

This is a one stop reference for measuring the expected returns of long term investments.  Written by a practitioner with years of hands-on experience in the industry, it is a comprehensive toolkit which enables practitioners to forecast the returns of a range of investments under different parameters.  Coverage includes expected returns of major asset classes (stocks, bonds, alternatives…), investment strategies (value, carry, momentum…) and the effects of underlying factors such as growth, inflation, liquidity and different risk perspectives.  The book also looks at rational and irrational perspectives on asset returns, comparing traditional theories such as efficient markets with irrational or behavioral perspectives, and provides real life case studies to illustrate how returns have been miscalculated to the detriment of the investor.  In all, this book will be a bible to the long-term investor, providing a range of expected return scenarios, and providing a platform for forecasting the expected returns of an investment portfolio for asset allocation and portfolio balancing purposes.

Part I - Getting Started

Introduction/Overview    
Appetizer: Interesting Historical Returns and Their Pitfalls
Road Map to Definitions/Terminology    
Rational Theories on Expected Return Determination   
Behavioural Explanations for Expected Returns
Equity Risk Premium
Bond Risk Premium
Credit Risk Premium 
Alternative Asset Premia

Part II Case Studies

Equity Risk Premium
Bond Risk Premium
Credit Risk Premium
Alternative Asset Premia
Value (Equity Long-Short) 
Carry (Currency)
Momentum and Trend (Commodities)
Volatility Selling (Equity Index)
Growth 
Inflation
Liquidity
Higher Moments (volatility, correlation, skew)

Part 3 - More on Time-varying Expected Returns and Managing Them
Alternative Interpretations for Return Predictability      
Endogenous Return and Risk - overlaying feedback effects on all return sources  
Forward-looking Measures of Asset Returns (value and carry)     
Interpreting Carry (non-zero yield spreads)       
Survey-based Subjective Return Expectations       
Tactical Return Forecasting Models          
Enhancing Expected Returns Through Managing Risks, Horizon, Skill, and Costs    
Seasonal Regularities         
Cyclical Variation in Asset Returns        
The Historical Record - Past 20 Years Within a Longer Perspective
Secular Trends, Recent Crisis, and the Next 20 Years      
Takeaways for Long-Horizon Investors 

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